Attentional ensemble model for accurate discharge and water level prediction with training data enhancement
Anh Duy Nguyen , Viet Hung Vu , Duc Viet Hoang , and 4 more authors
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 2023
This research introduces a novel deep learning-based method for forecasting discharge and water levels, addressing challenges like data scarcity, noise, and underestimation. The approach combines 1D-CNN for feature extraction, LSTM for capturing temporal relationships, ensemble learning for enhanced predictive performance, and Singular-Spectrum Analysis (SSA) to reduce noise. Leveraging an attention mechanism and Linear Exponential (LINEX) loss, the method achieves significant improvements, including up to 40% and 34% gains in the Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient for one-step-ahead and multistep-ahead predictions, respectively, compared to existing approaches.